If COVID19 kills 1,000,000 Americans between now and November, or if American life remains deeply disrupted between now and then and we have a deep recession (as seems very likely), you’ll be able to run a dead dog against Trump and it would win.

Trump has a fragile, and untested, mythos as a strongman able to get things down.

Now America is going into both recession and lockdown under his leadership.

How does that situation get him reelected?